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Red33
705015.2
1020224.2
1032111.5
Blue49
902512.2
1026111.5
952318.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484302060803349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
4Coral scored#6
13Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
17Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
33Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.1
16.715.6
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 5.4
9523
#25
18.70.3
18.218.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Second
7050
#29
15.21.1
12.811.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 3.0
9025
#10
12.20.3
6.66.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4
Third
11.51.1
13.812.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Level
11.50.4
14.414.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed