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Qual 242025 Haliç Regional
Red7
87596.1
419110.4
775811.2
Blue44
744438.7
94649.7
946817.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37680206080100120140744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +23
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
0Total teleop23
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
7Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7758
#30
11.23.3
9.6→6.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
blue by 27.5
7444
#4
38.72.2
28.4→26.2
Auto9.9
Teleop26.6
End2.2
Second
4191
#22
10.43.3
13.6→10.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.1
End3.4
blue by 7.3
9468
#23
17.72.2
18.9→16.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
8759
#50DQ
6.13.3
13.6→10.3
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 3.7
9464
#47
9.72.2
10.7→8.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed