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Red35
767211.6
949715.8
Blue30
805621.8
950210.9
1018516.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060801003530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
10Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points0
35Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9497
#36
15.80.9
14.313.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 6.0
8056
#43
21.81.3
14.012.7
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
Second
7672
#24
11.60.9
13.913.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 4.5
16.01.3
15.714.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
8.50.5
2.62.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 2.3
9502
#46
10.91.3
12.411.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed