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Red47
698919.1
641730.7
958313.6
Blue48
1054912.5
801128.0
290516.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654802040801001204748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
5Coral scored#6
18Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
47Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.9
28.127.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
red by 2.7
28.00.2
22.622.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
Second
6989
#18
19.11.4
20.819.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 3.0
2905
#27
16.20.2
14.914.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
9583
#33
13.60.9
11.010.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 1.1
12.50.3
12.712.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed