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Red32
9043-1.3
698812.2
902512.2
Blue31
876017.0
820917.0
946817.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2256040801001203231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points0
32Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6988
#34
12.20.4
12.412.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 5.5
9468
#23
17.71.9
16.714.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
9025
#10
12.20.3
6.86.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4
blue by 4.8
8760
#20
17.01.9
15.413.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
9043
#45
-1.30.3
4.74.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop-2.7
End1.6
blue by 18.3
8209
#38
17.01.9
16.014.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed