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Red84
96948.1
705015.2
753961.7
Blue57
1054213.3
419110.4
642921.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96500204060801201401608457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
51Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
84Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.3
59.759.4
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 40.3
6429
#12
21.50.4
22.121.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Second
7050
#29
15.20.5
11.611.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 1.9
13.30.4
16.816.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
9694
#37
8.10.3
8.38.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End3.5
blue by 2.3
4191
#22
10.40.4
10.39.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed