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Red88
729813.3
775811.2
753961.7
Blue57
290516.2
876017.0
949715.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914202060801001201401608857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
17Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
55Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
88Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.1
59.459.5
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 44.8
8760
#20
17.00.5
13.514.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Second
7298
#19
13.30.2
11.211.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 2.9
2905
#27
16.20.3
14.815.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
7758
#30
11.20.2
4.34.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
blue by 4.6
9497
#36
15.80.5
13.413.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed