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Red20
950210.9
1054912.5
830812.7
Blue39
1020224.2
946817.7
419110.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29490204060801002039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points12
20Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.7
6.45.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.6
blue by 11.5
24.21.8
18.516.7
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
12.51.1
12.511.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
blue by 5.2
9468
#23
17.71.8
14.813.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
9502
#46
10.91.1
11.110.0
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 0.5
4191
#22
10.41.8
9.98.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed