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Red80
902118.0
744438.7
Blue67
642921.5
705015.2
1054143.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507802040601001208067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+27Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
65Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points14
80Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.73.3
29.632.9
Auto9.9
Teleop26.6
End2.2
blue by 5.2
43.91.1
36.635.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
Second
18.03.3
18.321.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 3.5
6429
#12
21.51.8
21.719.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Third
8.52.0
2.14.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 6.7
7050
#29
15.21.8
11.19.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned