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Red47
1020515.7
907711.9
1026111.5
Blue25
698812.2
94649.7
818213.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50431020306070804725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
12Total teleop7
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
20Foul points6
47Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.9
15.413.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
red by 2.1
8182
#15
13.72.0
17.315.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Second
9077
#41
11.91.9
11.29.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End1.7
blue by 0.3
6988
#34
12.22.0
12.010.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Third
11.51.9
17.315.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 1.7
9464
#47
9.72.0
7.55.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed