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Red44
946817.7
815113.7
818213.7
Blue52
969014.6
698919.1
1026111.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801004452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points29
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
20Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points6
44Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9468
#23
17.70.1
13.012.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 1.4
6989
#18
19.10.4
19.719.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Second
8151
#31
13.70.1
10.710.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 0.9
9690
#32
14.60.4
14.614.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
8182
#15
13.70.1
15.315.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
red by 2.2
11.50.4
15.415.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed