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Red26
642921.5
87596.1
1054912.5
Blue44
775811.2
876017.0
923135.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4460020801001202644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
26Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6429
#12
21.51.7
19.918.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
blue by 14.0
9231
#13
35.50.5
33.733.1
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
12.51.7
11.49.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
blue by 4.5
8760
#20
17.00.9
14.013.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
8759
#50
6.11.7
10.38.6
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
7758
#30
11.20.9
4.63.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed