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Red21
879811.7
290516.2
9043-1.3
Blue54
705015.2
805621.8
92478.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310501001502002154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +27
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
3Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points12
21Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#27
16.20.9
15.014.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 5.6
8056
#43
21.81.6
12.914.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
Second
8798
#49
11.71.6
11.710.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 3.5
7050
#29
15.21.6
9.310.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
9043
#45
-1.30.9
2.31.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop-2.7
End1.6
blue by 10.2
9247
#11
8.91.0
5.16.1
Auto1.2
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed