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Red106
1023424.4
683839.4
958313.6
Blue58
830812.7
902118.0
902512.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7732020406010012010658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+56Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points9
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
0Processor points6
16Net points0
16Algae points6
71Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
106Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.42.0
36.238.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End1.3
red by 21.4
18.01.6
21.623.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Second
24.42.0
21.123.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
red by 11.7
12.71.0
5.86.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.6
Third
9583
#33
13.62.0
10.212.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 1.5
9025
#10
12.21.0
7.68.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned