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Red90
818213.7
753961.7
969014.6
Blue54
87596.1
923135.5
705015.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107520204060801201401609054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
44Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
12Foul points0
90Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.71.2
60.759.5
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 26.3
9231
#13
35.50.3
33.132.9
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
9690
#32
14.62.0
14.212.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 0.6
7050
#29
15.20.4
10.910.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
8182
#15
13.72.0
15.213.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
red by 7.6
8759
#50
6.10.4
8.68.2
Auto1.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed