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Red39
642921.5
92478.9
879811.7
Blue55
907711.9
698919.1
820917.0
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801003955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+34
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
2Coral scored#9
7Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
13Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
18Foul points0
39Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6429
#12
21.51.5
18.216.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
red by 2.4
6989
#18
19.11.3
19.320.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Second
8798
#49
11.71.5
10.28.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 5.3
8209
#38
17.01.3
13.815.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
9247
#11
8.90.9
6.15.2
Auto1.2
Teleop6.5
End1.3
blue by 3.0
9077
#41
11.91.3
9.811.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed