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Red54
1026111.5
290516.2
1039626.1
Blue82
1054143.9
96948.1
1054912.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525902040801001205482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+30
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#8
21Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
31Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
8Foul points6
54Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.3
21.321.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.0
End1.1
blue by 17.8
43.91.4
37.438.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
Second
2905
#27
16.20.3
14.113.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 3.6
12.52.3
9.611.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
Third
11.50.5
15.014.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 3.4
9694
#37
8.11.4
8.39.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned