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Red62
801128.0
907024.2
820917.0
Blue31
705015.2
767211.6
1026111.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57622040801001206231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+37Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
12Processor points6
4Net points0
16Algae points6
37Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points6
62Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.9
20.821.7
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
red by 12.8
7050
#29
15.23.4
18.114.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
9070
#16
24.21.1
15.616.7
Auto2.5
Teleop19.8
End1.9
red by 12.6
7672
#24
11.63.4
19.416.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
8209
#38
17.01.1
15.616.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 5.5
11.53.0
11.514.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed