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Red94
1018516.0
753961.7
698919.1
Blue28
775811.2
1023424.4
952318.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11666501001502009428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+46Teleop
+60Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
52Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points0
94Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.71.4
60.158.7
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 37.4
24.43.5
25.722.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
6989
#18
19.11.6
21.519.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 0.4
9523
#25
18.73.5
22.018.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Third
16.00.2
16.016.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 4.9
7758
#30
11.24.1
16.812.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed