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Red11
94649.7
876017.0
815113.7
Blue34
830812.7
879811.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552802040801001201134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
2Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points26
11Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8760
#20
17.04.1
16.312.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 4.3
12.72.1
8.96.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.6
Second
8151
#31
13.73.2
13.910.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
red by 2.0
8798
#49DQ
11.72.4
17.314.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Third
9464
#47
9.74.1
17.313.3
Auto1.9
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
red by 1.2
8.51.9
3.41.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned