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Red75
969014.6
805621.8
642921.5
Blue45
1026111.5
1020224.2
1054213.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47612040801007545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
47Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
75Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8056
#43
21.82.3
15.417.7
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
blue by 2.4
24.21.8
23.021.1
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
6429
#12
21.52.3
16.719.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
red by 8.2
13.31.8
17.115.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
9690
#32
14.62.3
12.214.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
red by 3.1
11.51.8
14.512.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed