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Red72
1041511.6
923135.5
820917.0
Blue59
946817.7
1018516.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662902040801001207259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
72Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9231
#13
35.50.9
32.933.8
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
red by 17.8
9468
#23
17.72.7
14.317.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
8209
#38
17.01.4
15.216.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 0.9
16.02.7
13.316.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
11.61.4
10.211.6
Auto1.6
Teleop8.7
End1.3
red by 3.1
8.51.7
5.37.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed