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Red71
729813.3
744438.7
705015.2
Blue73
1054912.5
643142.0
907711.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62712040801007173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points5
19Total auto14
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
48Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
71Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.4
37.038.4
Auto9.9
Teleop26.6
End2.2
blue by 3.4
42.00.5
41.141.5
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
Second
7050
#29
15.21.4
10.511.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 2.7
12.50.7
11.912.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
Third
7298
#19
13.31.4
9.611.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 1.3
9077
#41
11.90.7
11.211.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed