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Red56
290516.2
830812.7
419110.4
Blue43
907711.9
969014.6
1018516.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801005643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
56Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#27
16.21.5
14.616.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 0.1
16.00.1
16.016.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Second
12.71.5
10.211.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.6
blue by 1.9
9690
#32
14.60.1
14.514.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
4191
#22
10.42.2
8.210.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.1
End3.4
blue by 1.5
9077
#41
11.90.1
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed