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Red47
767211.6
1054912.5
879811.7
Blue103
753961.7
902118.0
1032111.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2911205010015047103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+44
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
9Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +32
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
30Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
6Foul points4
47Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.1
12.612.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
blue by 49.2
61.70.3
60.560.3
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
8798
#49
11.70.1
11.811.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 6.3
18.00.4
19.318.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
7672
#24
11.60.1
11.711.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 0.1
11.50.4
11.911.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned