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Red126
801128.0
815113.7
1054143.9
Blue73
949715.8
946817.7
642921.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8249020406010012014016012673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+53Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points27
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
76Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
24Foul points0
126Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.5
40.942.4
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 22.4
6429
#12
21.51.6
19.020.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Second
28.01.5
24.025.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
red by 10.3
9468
#23
17.71.6
17.018.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
8151
#31
13.71.5
9.711.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 2.1
9497
#36
15.81.6
14.215.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed