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Red148
753961.7
705015.2
1054143.9
Blue87
642921.5
92478.9
1020224.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14450010020014887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+41Teleop
+59Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
94Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +61
8Foul points6
148Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.5
60.360.7
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 37.6
24.20.6
23.323.9
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
43.90.5
42.442.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 22.4
6429
#12
21.50.6
20.621.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Third
7050
#29
15.20.6
13.313.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 6.3
9247
#11
8.90.4
8.58.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.5
End1.3