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Red73
830812.7
1039626.1
96948.1
Blue64
923135.5
801128.0
815113.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4077020601001201407364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
37Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +9
8Foul points2
73Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.5
25.125.6
Auto5.1
Teleop20.0
End1.1
blue by 9.4
9231
#13
35.50.2
33.032.8
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
12.70.5
11.712.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End4.6
blue by 15.3
28.00.2
25.525.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
Third
9694
#37
8.10.5
7.17.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End3.5
blue by 5.6
8151
#31
13.70.2
11.211.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3