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Red126
643142.0
641730.7
907024.2
Blue48
902512.2
1023424.4
805621.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11257010015012648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+60Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
17Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
85Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +78
8Foul points2
126Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.5
41.642.1
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
red by 17.7
24.40.2
23.623.4
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
30.70.5
30.230.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
red by 8.9
8056
#43
21.80.3
20.820.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
Third
9070
#16
24.20.7
23.624.3
Auto2.5
Teleop19.8
End1.9
red by 12.0
9025
#10
12.20.2
11.511.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4