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Red80
642921.5
818213.7
1020224.2
Blue108
815113.7
801128.0
923135.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60760204010012080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
63Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points0
80Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
23.924.2
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 11.3
9231
#13
35.50.7
32.833.5
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
6429
#12
21.50.3
21.221.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End4.1
blue by 6.5
28.00.7
25.326.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
Third
8182
#15
13.70.3
13.413.7
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Level
8151
#31
13.70.7
11.011.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3