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Red70
902512.2
1023424.4
805621.8
Blue50
698919.1
902118.0
946817.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61603040507080901007050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
43Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points0
70Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.2
23.423.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
red by 5.3
6989
#18
19.10.3
19.419.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Second
8056
#43
21.80.2
20.520.7
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
red by 3.8
18.00.3
18.318.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
9025
#10
12.20.2
11.211.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4
blue by 5.5
9468
#23
17.70.3
18.017.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3