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Red195
1059819.8
948371.1
815949.7
Blue120
645945.2
963538.4
95919.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1468750100200195120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+61Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave6
9Coral scored#1
45Coral points7
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#24
82Coral points87
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
128Total teleop105
Reef
15L4#11
8L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#29
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
195Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.11.8
68.169.9
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
red by 25.8
45.20.8
43.644.5
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
Second
49.71.8
46.748.5
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
red by 11.3
38.40.8
36.837.6
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
Third
19.81.8
16.918.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
red by 9.9
9591
#28
9.90.8
8.39.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8