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Red57
951015.4
643132.1
1052819.0
Blue148
815949.7
683833.5
645945.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349705015057148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+65
Endgame+61
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
8Coral scored#18
29Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
39Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
2Foul points32
57Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.4
11.212.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End0.8
blue by 17.6
49.73.2
27.030.1
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
Second
19.01.4
14.215.7
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
blue by 26.3
45.23.2
24.627.7
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
Third
9510
#25
15.41.4
10.712.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 18.0
33.53.2
27.831.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned