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Red21
956510.2
801120.8
Blue41
1046515.7
1060811.4
805810.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614702040801001201402141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
3Coral scored#1
9Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
9Total teleop5
Reef
2L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points18
21Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
#14
20.83.6
25.221.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 5.1
15.72.3
14.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Second
9565
#40
10.23.6
15.111.5
Auto0.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 1.2
11.42.3
14.712.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Third
3.43.6
13.19.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 7.2
8058
#32
10.62.3
14.512.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed