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Red61
703510.6
963538.4
Blue18
1059819.8
1053211.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604301001506118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+39Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
7Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
28Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
3L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points0
61Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.3
24.424.1
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
red by 18.5
19.82.4
13.110.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Second
7035
#30
10.60.3
14.314.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 0.4
11.02.4
14.712.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Third
8.60.3
13.112.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
red by 3.6
5.02.4
12.39.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed