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Red43
1060425.7
96105.1
92657.8
Blue44
1004110.7
855723.6
874710.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556401001502002504344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
22Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
8Foul points4
43Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.710.1
25.715.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
red by 2.1
8557
#21
23.62.7
20.417.7
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Second
9265
#38
7.82.2
16.914.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 2.9
10.74.4
10.715.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Third
9610
#47
5.12.2
13.911.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 5.3
8747
#17
10.52.7
17.014.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed