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Red4
96105.1
80546.2
Blue30
729610.9
76115.4
92657.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51470100150200250430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop13
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
4Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.14.3
15.010.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 3.8
7296
#34
10.91.8
13.811.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
Second
8054
#42
6.24.3
16.312.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 1.6
9265
#38
7.81.8
14.712.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Third
9610
#47
5.14.3
11.77.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 0.3
7611
#44
5.41.8
11.910.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed