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Red42
874710.5
82619.5
815113.9
Blue58
1057612.4
602525.6
809211.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43472030405060704258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points1
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
12Foul points12
42Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8151
#22
13.90.8
11.010.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
blue by 11.8
25.60.6
13.914.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Second
8747
#17
10.50.8
14.313.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
blue by 1.9
12.40.6
14.715.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
8261
#35
9.50.8
12.211.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 2.1
8092
#36
11.60.6
11.612.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed