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Red95
958314.2
963538.4
1042837.0
Blue46
80546.2
703510.6
645945.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61820501001502009546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+63Teleop
+65Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
0Leave3
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
52Total teleop23
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
2Foul points18
95Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.43.8
20.524.4
Auto11.4
Teleop26.2
End0.7
blue by 6.9
45.25.0
29.524.6
Auto5.9
Teleop37.3
End2.0
Second
37.020.8
42.521.6
Auto10.8
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 26.4
7035
#30
10.65.0
19.214.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Third
9583
#15
14.23.8
17.120.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 8.0
8054
#42
6.25.0
21.316.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed