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Red9
1067512.9
76115.4
951015.4
Blue11
1059819.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576110203040507080911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
4Foul points0
9Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9510
#25DQ
15.45.0
15.710.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 4.4
19.87.9
21.013.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Second
12.90.2
12.912.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End1.2
red by 4.3
8.64.5
8.613.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Third
7611
#44
5.45.0
16.911.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.2
red by 2.0
3.44.6
8.513.1
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed