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Red44
1046515.7
641726.3
1053211.0
Blue25
805810.6
90434.8
1052819.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68572030405080901004425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop7
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
14Foul points6
44Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#10
26.33.2
22.819.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 7.3
19.04.7
19.014.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Second
15.71.1
15.714.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 5.1
8058
#32
10.63.6
18.014.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
11.03.6
11.014.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.9
red by 6.2
9043
#37
4.83.6
15.311.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed