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Red82
824211.6
683833.5
956510.2
Blue26
801120.8
1024416.3
82619.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7472204060801001208226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+56Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +28
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
47Total teleop19
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
30Foul points0
82Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.7
29.527.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 12.6
8011
#14
20.84.6
29.725.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Second
8242
#39DQ
11.61.7
17.816.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 4.7
10244
#16DQ
16.32.1
11.213.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
9565
#40
10.21.7
16.715.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 0.7
8261
#35
9.54.6
16.812.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed