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Red24
95919.9
815113.9
729610.9
Blue119
815949.7
1044513.5
948371.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50106015020024119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+85
Endgame+89
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +78
3Coral scored#20
11Coral points71
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
15Total teleop93
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#8
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points6
24Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8151
#22
13.93.4
14.411.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
blue by 57.2
71.11.8
45.146.8
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
Second
7296
#34
10.93.4
17.213.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
blue by 38.8
49.71.8
25.227.0
Auto15.4
Teleop33.4
End0.8
Third
9591
#28
9.93.4
17.013.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 3.6
13.56.1
13.519.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed