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Red159
90259.0
1046515.7
1060425.7
Blue21
92657.8
1057612.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47452040608010012015921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+138Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
22Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +138
124Foul points0
159Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.1
18.817.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.7
End2.3
red by 13.3
12.42.9
15.412.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Second
15.71.1
12.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 7.2
8.62.9
12.89.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Third
9025
#13
9.01.1
11.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End0.2
red by 1.2
9265
#38
7.82.9
12.910.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed