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Red41
805810.6
855723.6
80546.2
Blue116
602525.6
948371.1
874710.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4689020608010012014041116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+63
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
6Coral scored#15
20Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
28Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
0Cage & park12
0Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
41Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8557
#21
23.61.7
20.919.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.8
End2.2
blue by 47.5
71.13.4
46.549.9
Auto17.7
Teleop47.2
End6.1
Second
8058
#32
10.61.7
12.110.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 15.0
25.63.4
14.517.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Third
8054
#42
6.21.7
12.010.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
8747
#17
10.53.4
13.516.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed