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Red28
1044513.5
703510.6
Blue80
683833.5
923215.7
90434.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436001001502002503003504002880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
10Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points26
28Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.52.0
16.314.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
blue by 20.0
33.50.2
31.031.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Second
7035
#30
10.62.0
14.012.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 5.0
9232
#12
15.70.2
14.014.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3
Third
3.42.0
9.57.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 1.4
9043
#37
4.80.2
7.17.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned