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Red8
1004110.7
82619.5
958314.2
Blue75
1052819.0
809211.6
815113.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48420100150875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+27
Endgame+31
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +18
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop18
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points36
8Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9583
#15
14.23.7
17.213.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 4.8
19.00.1
15.715.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Second
10.73.7
12.58.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 3.2
8151
#22
13.90.1
10.210.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
8261
#35
9.53.7
11.47.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 2.1
8092
#36
11.60.1
12.212.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed