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Red43
923215.7
815113.9
703510.6
Blue29
969412.0
82619.5
729610.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801001204329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
6Coral scored#2
23Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
27Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points12
43Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9232
#12
15.70.7
14.214.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.3
red by 3.7
9694
#27
12.01.8
11.19.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Second
8151
#22
13.90.7
10.311.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 3.0
7296
#34
10.91.8
14.312.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End-0.1
Third
7035
#30
10.60.7
12.012.7
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End1.0
red by 1.1
8261
#35
9.51.8
7.75.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed