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Red44
1059819.8
92657.8
951015.4
Blue81
641726.3
1057612.4
824211.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344602060801001201404481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +29
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
23Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
44Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.6
9.510.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 6.4
6417
#10
26.33.6
24.528.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
9510
#25
15.40.6
14.014.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 3.1
12.43.6
10.013.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
9265
#38
7.80.6
9.29.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 3.8
8242
#39
11.63.6
7.310.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned