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Red15
805810.6
Blue39
95919.9
958314.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323101020405060701539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
3Coral scored#4
11Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
11Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points12
15Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8058
#32
10.61.0
10.89.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 3.5
9583
#15
14.20.3
11.711.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Second
7.11.0
7.26.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 2.8
9591
#28
9.90.3
6.15.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
5.01.0
6.35.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 4.8
9.80.3
12.211.9
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed